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What’s Around the Corner
Limits to Decoupling Drive Calls for Geoengineering
- Leading research suggests that decoupling from GHG emissions is unlikely to occur fast enough to reach the Paris Agreement goals, with current policies set to push global warming beyond 1.5°C this decade.
- As skepticism about the potential of decoupling to limit warming rises, climate experts and world leaders are eyeing alternatives. These range from discussion of different economic models, looking beyond growth, to calls for geoengineering interventions, such as Solar Radiation Management (SRM).
- There is no international governance framework for SRM, and research into its impacts has been ad hoc and fragmented, rather than the product of a comprehensive strategy. Impacts may be unequally distributed, with those most at risk least likely to be represented in decision-making.
Fossil Demand Peaks This Decade, but Not Soon Enough
- The International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasts global demand for oil, coal, and gas will peak before 2030, but warming will nonetheless pass 1.5°C this decade.
- China plans to reach peak coal consumption by 2025. IEA projections suggest it is on track, with slow economic growth curbing demand for energy.
- New data indicates that liquid natural gas, counted on by many to play a key role in the energy transition, may be responsible for up to 274 percent more GHG over its lifespan than coal, largely due to methane leaks in transportation.
Climate Insurance Risk Threatens Properties, Communities, and Economies
- The global insurance standards body is calling on national regulators to do more to increase financial protection for people and businesses exposed to natural catastrophes, as climate change spurs more damaging storms, floods and fires.
- The European Central Bank published findings that only a quarter of climate-related catastrophe losses in the EU are insured.
- Communities heavily impacted by insurance availability can lose businesses, livelihoods, and related fiscal funding for public services.
- Land tenure is critical to enable investment in climate resilience, which can improve insurability and lower premiums.
Our Experts
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